Browsing by Author "Silva, Richarde Marques da"
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Item Analyzing shoreline dynamicity and the associated socioecological risk along the Southern Odisha Coast of India using remote sensing-based and statistical approaches(Taylor and Francis Ltd., 2021-02-06T00:00:00) Mishra, Manoranjan; Acharyya, Tamoghna; Chand, Pritam; Santos, Celso Augusto Guimar�es; Kar, Dipika; Das, Prabhu Prasad; Pattnaik, Namita; Silva, Richarde Marques da; Nascimento, Thiago Victor Medeiros doThe coastal zone is an extremely volatile environment and is constantly changing. We assessed short- and long-term shoreline changes in the Ganjam district of Odisha on the eastern coast of India from 1990 to 2019 using Landsat satellite imagery and the Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS) tool in a geographic information system. In addition, we have also projected the likely future coastline position for the 2030�2040 period and the possible impact on the socioecology of the shoreline. In this study, we used the endpoint rate (EPR) analysis, weighted linear regression (WLR) analysis, and trigonometric functions to analyze the shoreline from 1990 to 2019 and also forecasted for year 2030 and 2040. The shoreline of the Ganjam coastal zone is one of the most biologically productive ecosystems in the world, and it is well-known due to the breeding and mass nesting grounds of olive ridley turtles and the economically connected ports, famous beaches, and cyclone-prone areas. During the study period (1990�2019), the average erosion and accretion rates in the Ganjam shoreline were ?2.58 m/year and 11.63 m/year, respectively. The rate of shoreline erosion increased during years of cyclone landfall, which was revealed during the short-term shoreline analysis of the periods from 1995 to 2000 (1999 super cyclone) and 2015 to 2019 (2019 category�IV cyclone Fani). The short- to long-term analyses of the shoreline assisted in identifying erosion (Ramyapatna, Podampetta) and accretion (southern part of Gopalpur port, spits along the Bahuda and Rushikulya Rivers) hotspots within the Ganjam coastal zone. The identified erosion hotspots could submerge a significant number of coastal villages that serve as breeding and mass nesting grounds for olive ridley turtles. The dominant erosion along the Ganjam coastline are likely to enhance socioecological risk and further threaten coastal communities in the future. The output of the undertaken research will benefit coastal planners, policymakers, and conservationists by helping them to formulate the most suitable action plan for coastal zone management with consideration of all stakeholders. � 2021 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.Item Deciphering the impact of anthropogenic coastal infrastructure on shoreline dynamicity along Gopalpur coast of Odisha (India): An integrated assessment with geospatial and field-based approaches(Elsevier B.V., 2022-10-22T00:00:00) Mishra, Manoranjan; Kar, Prabin K.; Chand, Pritam; Mohanty, Pratap K.; Acharyya, Tamoghna; Santos, Celso Augusto Guimar�es; Gon�alves, Rodrigo Mikosz; Silva, Richarde Marques da; Bhattacharyya, Debdeep; Beja, Santosh Kumar; Behera, BalajiOdisha's coastline supports various development activities that are critical to the state and national economy, such as oil and gas, ports and harbors, power plants, fishing, tourism, and mining that continues to not only detriment the coastal ecology but also affect the overall shoreline morphodynamics. The morphological changes are complicated processes involving both natural and human-induced drivers, but it is critical to understand how recent development activities further impact beach morphodynamics and shoreline dynamicity. The study analyzes the overall shoreline morphodynamics in response to the recent development of port and other related infrastructure for annual and decadal scale using two-dimensional (2-D) shoreline changes along with detailed 3-D beach profile volumetric changes for different studied zones along the Gopalpur coast. The results reveal that nearly all studied zones of the Gopalpur shoreline, Zone-4 (EPR = ?05.64 m a?1 and LRR = ?04.25 m a?1), Zone-3 (EPR = ?04.51 m a?1 and LRR = ?07.01 m a?1) and Zone-1 (EPR = ?2.85 m a?1 and LRR = ?01.46 m a?1), experienced erosion between 2010 and 2020 except Zone-2 (EPR = 24.31 m a?1 and LRR = 25.96 m a?1), which showed overall sign of deposition. The interannual shoreline analysis depicted that Zone-1 (tourist beach area) remained almost stable, Zone-2 (south of the breakwater of Gopalpur Port) showed accretion trends, Zone-4 (north side of the port) dominantly showed an erosion pattern, whereas Zone-3 (port area) showed a high level of uncertainty in the context of erosional or deposition trends. Calculated volumetric loss along the surveyed 3-D beach profiles supports these 2-D changes for all the studied zones. The results showed substantial changes in coastal morphodynamics in different studied zones of the Gopalpur region and severe erosion along its northern segment of the constructed coastal infrastructure. These findings can potentially promote effective coastal zone management and prevent further deterioration along the Gopalpur coast in future. � 2022 Elsevier B.V.Item Mapping main risk areas of lightning fatalities between 2000 and 2020 over Odisha state (India): A diagnostic approach to reduce lightning fatalities using statistical and spatiotemporal analyses(Elsevier Ltd, 2022-07-04T00:00:00) Mishra, Manoranjan; Acharyya, Tamoghna; Santos, Celso Augusto Guimar�es; Silva, Richarde Marques da; Chand, Pritam; Bhattacharyya, Debdeep; Srivastava, Sanjay; Singh, OmvirThis study analyzes the spatiotemporal variation of lightning flashes and lightning strike deaths from 2001 to 2020 among all 30 districts of Odisha State, India. Lightning flash data for the study area were acquired from Lightning Imaging Sensor (LIS) installed aboard the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) for the 2001�2014 period and from International Space Station for the 2017�2020 period. Deaths by lightning flashes were acquired from the annual report of natural calamities for the 2001�2020 period from the Revenue and Disaster Management Department, Government of Odisha. In this study, the spatial pattern of lightning flashes based on LIS data and resultant deaths were assessed using spatiotemporal statistical analysis, including the interpolation method and Sen's slope estimator. The geospatial heat maps of lightning strikes and deaths highlight the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of lightning strikes and induced deaths in Odisha State. Furthermore, statistical analyses demonstrate an apparent increase in lightning strikes in the state as a whole, with particular attention to the Mayurbhanj, Sundargarh, and Keonjhar districts, which had the highest incidence of lightning. Odisha State was hit by more than 10,000 lightning strikes every year between 2000 and 2020, excluding 2001, 2017, and 2018. The results show a moderate correlation (R = 0.61) between lightning strikes and lightning deaths in Odisha State during the analyzed period, which further needs to be investigated with respect to the seasonality of lightning, the locational vulnerability, and temporal risk. � 2022 Elsevier LtdItem Quantitative assessment of present and the future potential threat of coastal erosion along the Odisha coast using geospatial tools and statistical techniques(Elsevier B.V., 2023-02-28T00:00:00) Mishra, Manoranjan; Chand, Pritam; Beja, Santosh Kumar; Santos, Celso Augusto Guimar�es; Silva, Richarde Marques da; Ahmed, Ishtiaq; Kamal, Abu Hena MustafaThe eastern coast of India is one of the regions where most of the population resides in urban areas in the low-elevation coastal zone, making it vulnerable to frequent extreme weather events. The objectives of this study are to assess the short- to long-term shoreline changes of the Odisha coast, to understand how anthropogenic influences, and particularly extreme natural events, affect these changes, and to predict shoreline changes for 2050. This study utilized multi-temporal/spectral/spatial resolution satellite images and a digital shoreline analysis (DSAS) tool to appraise the short- (at five/six-year intervals) and long-term (1990�2019) shoreline dynamics along the coastal part of Odisha over the past three decades (1990�2019). The long-term shoreline analysis shows that the mean shoreline change is about 0.67 m/year and highlights that 52.47 % (227.4 km), 34.70 % (150.4 km), and 12.83 % (55.6 km) of the total Odisha coastline exhibit erosion, accretion, and stability, respectively. During the short-term analysis, the 2000�2005 period had the highest percentage of erosion (64.27 %), followed by the 2005�2010 period with an erosional trend of 59.06 %. The 1995�2000 period showed an accretion trend, whereas, during the last period, i.e., 2015�2019, the percentage of transects depicting erosion and accretion was almost similar. In 2050, 55.85 % of the transects are expected to show accretion, while 44.15 % would show erosion or a constant trend. The study identified the hotspots of coastal erosion along delineated study zones by synthesizing data from previous studies as well. The regional analysis of shoreline change along the Odisha coast would not only provide coastal managers with critical information on shoreline dynamics but also draw attention to vulnerable areas linked to shoreline dynamicity along the coast. � 2023 Elsevier B.V.Item Response of long- to short-term tidal inlet morphodynamics on the ecological ramification of Chilika lake, the tropical Ramsar wetland in India(Elsevier B.V., 2021-10-06T00:00:00) Mishra, Manoranjan; Acharyya, Tamoghna; Chand, Pritam; Santos, Celso Augusto Guimar�es; Silva, Richarde Marques da; Santos, Carlos Antonio Costa dos; Pradhan, Subhasis; Kar, DipikaThe long- to short-term morphodynamic response in low-lying coastal wetlands raises serious concerns worldwide about the loss of their biodiversity and ecological ramifications due to change in tidal amplitude and cyclonic events. One such place worth studying is Chilika lake, India, a prominent Ramsar site, the largest brackish water lagoon in Asia, and the second-largest coastal lagoon in the world. It experiences frequent cyclone landfalls and strong littoral drift that tends to open/close the tidal inlet. The goal of this study was to analyze the response of slow onset events such as long- (1952�2020) to short-term (~annual scale from 1989 to 2020) tidal inlet movement, shoreline change (1990�2020 with almost every five-year interval), spit morphodynamics (~annual scale from 1989 to 2020) on ecological ramification in Chilika lake as well as the implications of sudden onset event such as cyclonic landfall. In this study, we used the Digital Shoreline Change Analysis System (DSAS) to compute the statistics of shoreline change rate by calculating end point rate (EPR) values for short-term shoreline change (1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2011, 2016, and 2020) and weighted linear regression (WLR) for long-term shoreline change (1990�2020). The results show that Chilika lake experienced both erosion and accretion processes with a remarkably high erosion rate of 19.87 m year?1 and accretion of 16.91 m year?1 during a long-term scale (1990�2020). The average erosion and accretion rates were 2.25 m year?1 and 4.67 m year?1, respectively, during the past three decades (1990�2020). The short-term analysis suggests that the highest mean erosion of 4.37 m year?1 occurred during 2005�2011, mainly due to cyclonic storms, reduction in sediment discharge, and lunar eclipse, which induced tide with very high amplitude in August 2008. Overall, the annual scale analysis of tidal inlet shows a shifting trend towards the northward side even after the artificial opening of an inlet in 2000. It can be ascribed mainly to the prevalent direction of longshore drift along this coast. This study observed that the landfall of cyclones significantly affects the spit morphodynamics and opening of the tidal inlet, which defines the inflow of the seawater into the lagoon and further substantial impacts on the ecological ramification. The current study's methodology can be extended to comprehend the response of long- to short-term changes of the tidal inlet, shoreline, and spit morphodynamics on the ecological ramification of coastal lagoons worldwide along with impacts of sudden-onset events caused by cyclonic landfall. � 2021 Elsevier B.V.