Mathematics And Statistics - Research Publications

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Author: search.filters.author.Rangaig, Norodin A.Has files: No

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    Prediction studies of the epidemic peak of coronavirus disease in Japan: From Caputo derivatives to Atangana-Baleanu derivatives
    (World Scientific, 2021-09-30T00:00:00) Kumar, Pushpendra; Rangaig, Norodin A.; Abboubakar, Hamadjam; Kumar, Anoop; Manickam, A.
    New atypical pneumonia caused by a virus called Coronavirus (COVID-19) appeared in Wuhan, China in December 2019. Unlike previous epidemics due to the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and the Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV), COVID-19 has the particularity that it is more contagious than the other previous ones. In this paper, we try to predict the COVID-19 epidemic peak in Japan with the help of real-time data from January 15 to February 29, 2020 with the uses of fractional derivatives, namely, Caputo derivatives, the Caputo-Fabrizio derivatives, and Atangana-Baleanu derivatives in the Caputo sense. The fixed point theory and Picard-Lindel of approach used in this study provide the proof for the existence and uniqueness analysis of the solutions to the noninteger-order models under the investigations. For each fractional model, we propose a numerical scheme as well as prove its stability. Using parameter values estimated from the Japan COVID-19 epidemic real data, we perform numerical simulations to confirm the effectiveness of used approximation methods by numerical simulations for different values of the fractional-order ?, and to give the predictions of COVID-19 epidemic peaks in Japan in a specific range of time intervals. � 2022 World Scientific Publishing Company.
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    A malaria model with Caputo-Fabrizio and Atangana-Baleanu derivatives
    (World Scientific, 2020-11-02T00:00:00) Abboubakar, Hamadjam; Kumar, Pushpendra; Rangaig, Norodin A.; Kumar, Sachin
    In this paper, we study two fractional models in the Caputo-Fabrizio sense and Atangana-Baleanu sense, in which the effects of malaria infection on mosquito biting behavior and attractiveness of humans are considered. Using Lyapunov theory, we prove the global asymptotic stability of the unique endemic equilibrium of the integer-order model, and the fractional models, whenever the basic reproduction number R0 is greater than one. By using fixed point theory, we prove existence, and conditions of the uniqueness of solutions, as well as the stability and convergence of numerical schemes. Numerical simulations for both models, using fractional Euler method and Adams-Bashforth method, respectively, are provided to confirm the effectiveness of used approximation methods for different values of the fractional-order ?. � 2021 World Scientific Publishing Company.