Department Of Geography
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Item Assessing the impacts of current and future changes of the planforms of river Brahmaputra on its land use-land cover(Elsevier B.V., 2023-02-02T00:00:00) Debnath, Jatan; Sahariah, Dhrubajyoti; Lahon, Durlov; Nath, Nityaranjan; Chand, Kesar; Meraj, Gowhar; Kumar, Pankaj; Kumar Singh, Suraj; Kanga, Shruti; Farooq, MajidRiver bankline migration is a frequent phenomenon in the river of the floodplain region. Nowadays, channel dynamics-related changes in land use and land cover (LULC) are becoming a risk to the life and property of people living in the vicinity of rivers. A comprehensive evaluation of the causes and consequences of such changes is essential for better policy and decision-making for disaster risk reduction and management. The present study assesses the changes in the Brahmaputra River planform using the GIS-based Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS) and relates it with the changing LULC of the floodplain evaluated using the CA-Markov model. In this study, the future channel of the Brahmaputra River and its flood plain's future LULC were forecasted to pinpoint the erosion-vulnerable zone. Forty-eight years (1973�2021) of remotely sensed data were applied to estimate the rate of bankline migration. It was observed that the river's erosion-accretion rate was higher in early times than in more recent ones. The left and right banks� average shifting rates between 1973 and 1988 were ?55.44 m/y and ?56.79 m/y, respectively, while they were ?17.25 m/y and ?48.49 m/y from 2011 to 2021. The left bank of the river Brahmaputra had more erosion than the right, which indicates that the river is shifting in the leftward direction (Southward). In this river course, zone A (Lower course) and zone B (Middle course) were more adversely affected than zone C (Upper course). According to the predicted result, the left bank is more susceptible to bank erosion than the right bank (where the average rate of erosion and deposition was ?72.23 m/y and 79.50 m/y, respectively). The left bank's average rate of erosion was ?111.22 m/y. The research assesses the LULC study in conjunction with river channel dynamics in vulnerable areas where nearby infrastructure and settlements were at risk due to channel migration. The degree of accuracy was verified using the actual bankline and predicted bankline, as well as the actual LULC map and anticipated LULC map. In more than 90% of cases, the bankline's position and shape generally remain the same as the actual bankline. The overall, and kappa accuracy of all the LULC maps was more than 85%, which was suitable for the forecast. Moreover, chi-square (x2) result values for classified classes denoted the accuracy and acceptability of the CA-Markov model for predicting the LULC map. The results of this work aim to understand better the efficient hazard management strategy for the Brahmaputra River for hazard managers of the region using an automated prediction approach. � 2023 China University of Geosciences (Beijing) and Peking UniversityItem Land Use and Land Cover Change Monitoring and Prediction of a UNESCO World Heritage Site: Kaziranga Eco-Sensitive Zone Using Cellular Automata-Markov Model(MDPI, 2023-01-02T00:00:00) Nath, Nityaranjan; Sahariah, Dhrubajyoti; Meraj, Gowhar; Debnath, Jatan; Kumar, Pankaj; Lahon, Durlov; Chand, Kesar; Farooq, Majid; Chandan, Pankaj; Singh, Suraj Kumar; Kanga, ShrutiThe Kaziranga Eco-Sensitive Zone is located on the edge of the Eastern Himalayan biodiversity hotspot region. In 1985, the Kaziranga National Park (KNP) was declared a World Heritage Site by UNESCO. Nowadays, anthropogenic interference has created a significant negative impact on this national park. As a result, the area under natural habitat is gradually decreasing. The current study attempted to analyze the land use land cover (LULC) change in the Kaziranga Eco-Sensitive Zone using remote sensing data with CA-Markov models. Satellite remote sensing and the geographic information system (GIS) are widely used for monitoring, mapping, and change detection of LULC change dynamics. The changing rate was assessed using thirty years (1990�2020) of Landsat data. The study analyses the significant change in LULC, with the decrease in the waterbody, grassland and agricultural land, and the increase of sand or dry river beds, forest, and built-up areas. Between 1990 and 2020, waterbody, grassland, and agricultural land decreased by 18.4, 9.96, and 64.88%, respectively, while sand or dry river beds, forest, and built-up areas increased by 103.72, 6.96, and 89.03%, respectively. The result shows that the area covered with waterbodies, grassland, and agricultural land is mostly converted into built-up areas and sand or dry river bed areas. According to this study, by 2050, waterbodies, sand or dry river beds, and forests will decrease by 3.67, 3.91, and 7.11%, respectively; while grassland and agriculture will increase by up to 16.67% and 0.37%, respectively. The built-up areas are expected to slightly decrease during this period (up to 2.4%). The outcome of this study is expected to be useful for the long-term management of the Kaziranga Eco-Sensitive Zone. � 2023 by the authors.Item Geospatial modeling to assess the past and future land use-land cover changes in the Brahmaputra Valley, NE India, for sustainable land resource management(Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 2022-11-24T00:00:00) Debnath, Jatan; Sahariah, Dhrubajyoti; Lahon, Durlov; Nath, Nityaranjan; Chand, Kesar; Meraj, Gowhar; Farooq, Majid; Kumar, Pankaj; Kanga, Shruti; Singh, Suraj KumarSatellite remote sensing and geographic information system (GIS) have revolutionalized the mapping, quantifying, and assessing the land surface processes, particularly analyzing the past and future land use-land cover (LULC) change patterns. Worldwide river basins have observed enormous changes in the land system dynamics as a result of anthropogenic factors such as population, urbanization, development, and agriculture. As is the scenario of various other river basins, the Brahmaputra basin, which falls in China, Bhutan, India, and Bangladesh, is also witnessing the same environmental issues. The present study has been conducted on the Brahmaputra Valley in Assam, India (a sub-basin of the larger Brahmaputra basin) and assessed its LULC changes using a maximum likelihood classification algorithm. The study also simulated the changing LULC pattern for the years 2030, 2040, and 2050 using the GIS-based cellular automata Markov model (CA-Markov) to understand the implications of the ongoing trends in the LULC change for future land system dynamics. The current rate of change of the LULC in the region was assessed using the 48�years of earth observation satellite data from 1973 to 2021. It was observed that from 1973 to 2021, the area under vegetation cover and water body decreased by 19.48 and 47.13%, respectively. In contrast, cultivated land, barren land, and built-up area increased by 7.60, 20.28, and 384.99%, respectively. It was found that the area covered by vegetation and water body has largely been transitioned to cultivated land and built-up classes. The research predicted that, by the end of 2050, the area covered by vegetation, cultivated land, and water would remain at 39.75, 32.31, and 4.91%, respectively, while the area covered by built-up areas will increase by up to 18.09%. Using the kappa index (ki) as an accuracy indicator of the simulated future LULCs, the predicted LULC of 2021 was validated against the observed LULC of 2021, and the very high ki observed validated the generated simulation LULC products. The research concludes that significant LULC changes are taking place in the study area with a decrease in vegetation cover and water body and an increase of area under built-up. Such trends will continue in the future and shall have disastrous environmental consequences unless necessary land resource management strategies are not implemented. The main factors responsible for the changing dynamics of LULC in the study area are urbanization, population growth, climate change, river bank erosion and sedimentation, and intensive agriculture. This study is aimed at providing the policy and decision-makers of the region with the necessary what-if scenarios for better decision-making. It shall also be useful in other countries of the Brahmaputra basin for transboundary integrated river basin management of the whole region. � 2022, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.